Monday, September 03, 2007

Felix Labor Day Update

Category 5. Very strong but very small, with a current wind field of only 30 miles diameter. Future forecast track is now in some doubt:
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BASICALLY EXTRAPOLATES THE CURRENT DIRECTION OF MOTION FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH ONLY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. AFTER THAT A MODEST BEND TO THE RIGHT IS FORECAST...ALTHOUGH NOT ALL OF THE MODELS CONCUR... WITH THE GFS... GFDL... AND ECMWF NEVER TAKING FELIX OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.
South Texas, pay heed.

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