T.S. Alberto Advisory

The latest discussion as of early Sunday evening from NHC:

SOME MODELS...SUCH AS THE U.K. MET OFFICE GLOBAL MODEL...SHOW A WEAKENING SYSTEM THAT DOES NOT CROSS FLORIDA. THE GFS SHOWS AN ELONGATED LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC VORTICITY MAXIMUM THAT SPREADS ACROSS FLORIDA WITH A NON-TROPICAL-LOOKING AMPLIFICATION NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE STATE. BECAUSE OF THE DIVERGENCE IN MODEL GUIDANCE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS ONE. HOWEVER SINCE THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE IN BANDS AS MUCH AS 200 N MI EAST OF THE CENTER WHICH COULD REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST ON THIS ADVISORY.

And from WaPo:

The prospect of a wet storm without hurricane-force wind was welcomed by firefighters who have been battling wildfires for six weeks on Florida's east coast.

"A good soaking rain would do a lot to help stop the fires in our area," said Pat Kuehn, a spokeswoman for Volusia County Fire Services. "It has been a hard fire season. We've had several fires a week here."

Forecasters said the storm could make landfall early Tuesday in central or northern Florida.