Tuesday, April 04, 2006

Hurricane Forecast: Bad News

April's annual Colorado State University hurricane forecast, Formerly Known as Dr. William Gray's, has been issued. The news is not good:
[T]he 2006 Atlantic hurricane season will be much more active than the average 1950-2000 season. We estimate that 2006 will have about 9 hurricanes (average is 5.9), 17 named storms (average is 9.6), 85 named storm days (average is 49.1), 45 hurricane days (average is 24.5), 5 intense (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes (average is 2.3) and 13 intense hurricane days (average is 5.0). The probability of U.S. major hurricane landfall is estimated to be about 55 percent above the long-period average.
The forecast relies on six "predictors", every one of which is pointing to another record hurricane season. Among them is La Nina. We were hoping for her baby brother.

In a new feature for the Colorado State team, you can check the landfall forecast for your particular county by clicking here.

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