Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Election Day Links

Until the polls close:

Google Voter Info
Find your polling place. Easy! Fun!

The much-ballyhooed "Five Thirty-Eight"
The most sophisticated statistical analysis of national and state-by-state public poll data available. Heavily relied upon by almost everyone this year. Also includes Senate projections and pollster ratings.

"Princeton Election Consortium"
Another statistically sophisticated web site, using "mata-analysis" to yield a "snapshot" analysis of where the candidates stand at any given moment in time, and what that would mean in the race for White House and control of the U.S. Senate.

Another site that aggregates public poll data and then applies statistical analysis to produce a state-by-state picture of the candidates' current standing. In this case, the statistical formula is known as "regression based trend lines," rather than the simpler "averaging" system.

TPM Election Night Scoreboard
Easy-to-click map promising live, up to the minute results in every state for president, senate, and house seats. Bonus: Poll closing times, interactive map by state.

Mother Jones - Election Day fraud
Report your election day poll observations and read the reports of other voters.

Twitter Poll Reports
Super-short messages sent immediately from voters heading out to the polls, standing in line, etc. etc. Works like a text message sent to the world at large. You can add your one-and-half cents, too.

Swing-State Counties
Key counties whose vote totals will influence the outcome in swing states.

Electoral Scoreboard Map
Run your own predictions by playing around with which states you think will favor whom.

Status of the Electoral College
State-by-state. Currently showing red, blue, and leaners according to detailed polling data.

"The extent of the country renders it impossible, that the people can have the requisite capacity to judge of the respective pretensions of the candidates." -- George Mason, July 17, 1787.

"It is appalling that we find ourselves still ruled by the ugly political compromises of dead white men made in an age when horses were the fastest means of acquiring information and the vast majority of citizens were illiterate." -- Beach Blogger, November 4, 2008.

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