The most recent confusion over forecast models "likely was a bad run," he says:
"There were no GPS dropsondes used in the initialization of the model, leading the model to guess as to what the atmosphere was doing at the initial time. Therefore, one should not make any decision based upon that model."Back to Plan A:
The latest GFS appears more realistic in bringing the hurricane across south Florida on Sunday without stalling it over the Yucatan.
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Continue to comply with all orders given by local emergency management officials.
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The effects in Pensacola should be limited to high waves on the beaches.
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