Late Sunday afternoon, the word from NHC was that while the computer forecast models (above) are trending westward and many of them now foresee Ike missing that northeast turn toward the Florida panhandle, "it is much too early to anticipate which areas along the Gulf Coast could be impacted by this system."
Navy meteorologists are similarly cautious. "Errors for track" they note, "have averaged near 250 nautical miles on day 4 and 350 nautical miles on day 5."
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It's beginning to look like the central Texas coast about halfway between Galveston and Corpus Christi. That takes the storm over the warmest water in the Gulf, but very few people live there.
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