Ophelia: "I hope all will be well. We must be patient, but I cannot choose but weep."
As of
11 am Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center reports that Tropical Storm Ophelia seems to be acting as crazy as her Shakespearean namesake:
MODELS ARE IN GREAT DISAGREEMENT MAKING THE FORECAST HIGHLY UNCERTAIN. BOTH THE GFDL AND THE ECMWF BRING THE CYCLONE WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS IS PROBABLY THE WORSE CASE SCENARIO FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
THE OTHER MODELS KEEP OFELIA LOOPING NEAR THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. THE BEST OPTION IN THESE CASES OF LARGE MODEL DISAGREEMENT IS TO FORECAST LITTLE MOTION.
THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD DRIFT BUT THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT OPHELIA WILL LIKELY MEANDER JUST OFF THE NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA COASTS FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
No comments:
Post a Comment