The good news for Pensacola is that the probability Rita will come within 65 nautical miles in the next few days has continued to drop. It is now at only 3 percent.
The bad news is that the Hurricane Center says early Wednesday morning "It would not be a surprise if Rita became a Category 5 hurricane in the next 24 hrs" and surely will be a Category 4 "later today." For Texas, there's more bad news. The consensus forecast calls for landfall somewhere along the central Texas Gulf Coast, including Galveston.
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