Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Guessing About Gustav

After weakening to a tropical storm last night, Gustav's been hanging around Haiti a little longer than the National Hurricane Center anticipated. Otherwise, not much has changed: it's still expected to re-strengthen to hurricane force, head Westward, then steer past or over Cuba, and "turn northward" into the Gulf of Mexico, where most models have it becoming a major hurricane before landfall.

Note above, however, that this morning's computer forecast models have shifted the landfall point farther to the west. That's potentially good news for Pensacola Beach and bad news for New Orleans and Texas. But it is still far too early for anyone around here to relax.

Predicting the storm's path before it even enters the Gulf is little more than a guessing game.

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