Fay has been meandering for the past several hours but it began to drift northward in the past hour or so. The mid-level ridge developing north of Fay is already blocking its northward progression and Fay should soon begin to move very slowly toward the northwest and the west-northwest. The most significant issue regarding the slow motion is that Fay will likely continue to dump torrential rains along its path...and will probably be remembered as a very wet storm. The turn to the Northwest and West-Northwest keeping Fay over land is consistent with most of the global models and tropical cyclone track guidance.Bottom line: Tropical Storm Fay is slowly heading for the general Pensacola area, or maybe a bit north or south of that. It might, but probably won't, strengthen and blow us away. But it could give us a heavy drenching, or maybe not.
Isn't weather science fun?
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